There is now an red-teaming / critique exercise for Effective Altruism (EA).

Essentially, EA is a transform to some putative better state of the world from its current less-than-optimal state. To judge efficacy, we need to know: (a) how exactly is that future state better? and (b) what does that transform cost?

In those assays, aggregate numbers are suspect. ie. local judgment for each individual case should be preserved, which then introduces local politics and makes this rather seem like Foreign Policy Errors 101.

What will EA itself think the best critique is?

The results are in.

The top prizes go to:
1) A critical review of GiveWell's 2022 cost-effectiveness model and Methods for improving uncertainty analysis in EA cost-effectiveness models by Alex Bates (Froolow) ($25,000 total)
2) Biological Anchors external review by Jennifer Lin ($20,000)
3) Population Ethics without Axiology: A Framework by Lukas Gloor ($20,000)